Northern Illinois
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 93.5395Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 10- 2 214 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 3-10 216 A North Carolina A&T CA (17-29, 90.1) 6- 5 218 H North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 5-15 520 H Western Michigan MA ( 5- 8, 92.5) 11- 0 521 A Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 6- 5 522 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 10- 3 523 A Toledo MA ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 1 529 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 12-10 531 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 8-21 531 H Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A North Carolina A&T 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.27
214 A North Carolina A&T 3-10 -7 3 --- -9.73
216 A North Carolina A&T 6- 5 1 3 -1.73
218 H North Alabama 5-15 -10 1 --- -10.81
520 H Western Michigan 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.30
521 A Miami 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 4.58
522 A Toledo 10- 3 7 0 +++ 7.41
523 A Toledo 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.41
529 A Coastal Carolina 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.62
531 H St. John's 8-21 -13 0 --- -13.06
531 H Florida State 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.23
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A North Carolina A&T 3-10 -7 3 --- -9.73 218 H North Alabama 5-15 -10 1 --- -10.81 531 H St. John's 8-21 -13 0 --- -13.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Western Michigan 11- 0 11 2 +++ 9.30 522 A Toledo 10- 3 7 0 +++ 7.41 213 A North Carolina A&T 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.27 521 A Miami 6- 5 1 -4 ++ 4.58 523 A Toledo 5- 1 4 0 ++ 4.41 529 A Coastal Carolina 12-10 2 -3 ++ 4.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 10- 2 -9.77 8.66 0.68 2.63 49.07
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 3-10 -9.77 8.66 0.68 2.63 -11.96
3 A North Carolina (17-29, 90.1) 6- 5 -9.77 8.66 0.68 2.63 49.07
3 H North Alabama (30-29, 93.4) 5-15 -6.50 11.93 -0.68 2.63 -9.43
3 H Western Michig ( 5- 8, 92.5) 11- 0 -7.39 11.04 -0.68 2.63 54.49
3 A Miami (22-13, 96.4) 6- 5 -3.46 14.97 0.68 2.63 82.27
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 10- 3 -6.63 11.80 0.68 2.63 65.58
3 A Toledo ( 6-13, 93.3) 5- 1 -6.63 11.80 0.68 2.63 65.58
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 12-10 -4.42 14.01 0.68 2.63 77.21
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 8-21 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 2.63 -8.44
3 H Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 4- 7 -2.92 15.51 -0.68 2.63 -4.72
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408.74
|
winning pts = 443.2910 losing points = -34.5524
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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